这周零售圈两副面孔:大卖场在算亏损账,折扣店和新鲜零食在算排队时长。高鑫零售半年预亏超5亿、永辉单季还在亏;金粒门上海首店被抢到关门、京东折扣唐山店开门即限流;7-Eleven在广东悄悄站上2000家。下面12条,每条都给了细节和点评。

本周速览
  • 高鑫零售半年预亏5–5.5亿,亏损扩大超3倍
  • 永辉前三季度扭亏1.70亿,三季度单季仍亏0.83亿
  • 金粒门上海首店爆满停业,两天连开杭州、佛山、深圳、柳州四城
  • 京东折扣超市唐山首店开门即限流,衡水店11月6日接棒
  • 山姆天津红桥筹备开业、义乌装修两成、台州冲刺4000品类
  • 盒马苏州黄埭开仓、枣庄首店开业、简阳双业态落地
  • 鲜风生活首次跨省,济南连签两店
  • 广东7-Eleven站上2000家,四年目标3000家
  • 七鲜小厨200㎡"餐+饮"综合店,后厨无人化出餐5分钟
  • 永辉八大产区黑猪直供,黑猪直采占比达90%
  • Metro's 30-Year Plan: Renovate 2027+ Stores and Establish 20 Pre-warehouses in 100 Years
  • 胖东来一周三发声:人格尊严公示、定位转向、消费入座建议

一、大卖场:账本继续恶化

1. 高鑫零售半年预亏5–5.5亿,亏损扩大超3倍

大润发母公司高鑫零售(06808.HK)10月25日晚间发布盈利预警,预计2026年4月至9月净亏损5亿至5.5亿元。去年同期亏损仅1.27亿元,亏损额扩大超过3倍;而2026财年全年亏损为3.19亿元,仅这半年的亏损就已超上一整个财年。消息出来后,10月26日股价盘中一度大跌6%。

ReviewThe issue with hypermarkets isn't that they haven't undergone renovation—it's that cash flow collapses before renovations are complete. Losing half a year's worth of 1.5 times last year's full-year losses indicates that store closures, rigid lease obligations, and declining foot traffic are happening simultaneously. For suppliers, the impact is direct: entry fees, payment terms, and per-store revenue must all be recalculated based on the new reality.

2. 永辉前三季度扭亏1.70亿,但三季度单季仍亏0.83亿

Yonghui released its Q3 report for 10 year on the evening of 30: Revenue in the first three quarters reached 352.42 billion yuan, down 16.95% year over year; net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.70 billion yuan, turning a loss from -7.1 billion yuan in the same period last year. However, looking at quarterly data, third-quarter revenue was 114.5 billion yuan, down 8.29% year over year, with a net loss of 0.83 billion yuan and a non-recurring net loss of 0.33 billion yuan. These figures represent reduced losses of 3.87 billion and 6.66 billion yuan respectively compared to the previous year, showing clear improvement but still failing to turn profitable.

Store Operations: As of the end of Q3, Yonghui operated 383 stores, a year-over-year decrease of 67. A total of 338 stores have undergone renovation, accounting for 88.25% of the portfolio. The company's strategy runs on three parallel tracks: renovating existing stores, opening new locations in high-quality trading areas, and closing underperforming or loss-making outlets. The pace of renovations and closures has slowed, resulting in lower one-time investment costs and closure-related losses compared to the same period last year. On the product front: private label sales reached RMB 40.89 billion in the first three quarters, representing 10.94% of total sales. There are 502 million-RMB-level SKUs, including 19 billion-RMB-level SKUs.

Review 这份财报最该看的不是1.70亿,而是"营收降16.95%、利润转正"这个组合——它是用关店和调改换来的,不是靠增长。自有品牌占10.94%、19个亿元级单品,说明商品结构确实在往毛利端挪。四季度的看点就一个:单季能不能转正,那才叫真止血。

二、折扣店与新鲜零食:抢到限流

3. 金粒门:上海首店被抢停业,两天连开四城

新鲜零食品牌金粒门上海首店(上海万象城店)自10月15日开业后持续火爆,10月25日晚6点因客流过大紧急暂停营业,恢复时间另行通知;高峰时排队客流绕店数圈,部分货架被抢空、饮品限购2瓶。品牌方透露,年内还将在静安CP商场开出上海第二家门店。

更猛的是开店节奏:10月29日开出杭州大悦城店(拱墅区首店、浙江第三店,面积近400平方米、集结近200款单品,杭州门店已达6家),同日佛山顺德万象汇首店开门(距9月28日佛山万象天地首店仅一个月);10月30日深圳万象食家店(罗湖区笋岗B1层)与广西首店柳州万象城店(近200款单品,覆盖麻辣鲜卤、烘焙西点)同日亮相。两天四城,全国直营门店已达50家。

Review 两天四城、50家直营,这个速度背后是资本在推——近期刚完成两轮融资。但上海首店"生意太好被迫关门"暴露的是后端问题:补货、冷链、门店承载力没跟上前端客流。新鲜零食真正的门槛从来不在开店,在长三角的日配半径和损耗率。谁能把单店模型跑稳,才有资格谈全国化。

4. JD Discount Supermarket's First Store in Tangshan: Crowd Control Implemented Immediately Upon Opening

On 10 30, JD Discount Supermarket Tangshan's first store opened at Rongxinhui, World Expo Plaza in Lunan District. As the city's first multi-category hard-discount supermarket, it follows a "large-format, diverse assortment" strategy. Private label brands such as Jing Xian Fang and Jing Yue are now available, with over 100 private label products priced at 9.9 yuan.

首日表现:不到8点店外已排队,开门即启动限流;9.9元30枚鲜鸡蛋30分钟卖出超2万枚,42.9元红盖玻汾20分钟售罄,3.9元/斤大红门猪前腿肉、12.9元/提维达卫生纸成为囤货主力。唐山店开业后,11月6日的衡水首店已进入开业倒计时,冀东与冀东南节点正在连成网络。

ReviewJD is pushing its "large-format + multi-category" model into tier-3 cities like Tangshan and Hengshui, leveraging e-commerce supply chain scale and private-label offerings to undercut regional supermarkets' pricing. Eggs at 9.9 yuan and Bo Fen liquor at 42.9 yuan serve as loss leaders that local retailers simply can't match—not because they don't want to, but because they can't source at those prices. For Hebei's local retail sector, this isn't just adding a new competitor; it's resetting the price anchor entirely.

三、会员店与生鲜电商:三地同步卡位

5. 山姆:天津红桥筹备、义乌装修两成、台州冲刺4000品类

天津山姆红桥店工程已基本完工,进入开业筹备阶段,门店正在完善货架、停车场等配套,开展精细化清洁,同步调整货品陈列布局、优化会员购物动线。义乌山姆项目10月27日内部装修全面展开,一层经营区处于地面、墙、柱、顶装饰阶段,装修总进度完成20%,计划2027年1月竣工、2027年4月开业。台州山姆已进入开业冲刺,预计10月底前铺货与试运营基本达到开业条件,开业时卖场陈列品类将达4000余种。

Review 山姆这周不是"开一家店",是三条不同阶段的线同时在跑:一家等开门、一家装修两成、一家铺货到4000个SKU。这种节奏说明它的选址和开店模型已经标准化到可以并行推进。对本地供应商,台州店4000+品类意味着又一轮进场窗口;对本地商超,是又一轮会员争夺——而且这一轮对手的弹药更足。

6. 盒马:苏州开仓、枣庄首店开业、简阳双业态落地

盒马鲜生苏州相城黄埭店位于春旺生活广场,10月28日起开通线上配送、最快30分钟送达,该店是盒马在相城的首个乡镇店,将于11月13日正式开业。枣庄首店落户薛城万达广场一楼,门店进入设备调试阶段并同步投用生鲜配送前置仓,10月30日上午9时30分开门迎客;同日枣庄市"惠聚金秋·乐购全城"消费季启动仪式也在该店举行。简阳方面,超盒算NB硬折扣门店与盒马前置仓双业态落地文卫花园商业"邻里"中心,10月30日正式开业,形成线下平价选购加线上即时配送的组合。

Review 盒马这周最值得琢磨的是"下沉的方式":乡镇店先开线上配送、再开线下;枣庄首店把前置仓一起带下来;简阳干脆把硬折扣和前置仓捆进同一个商业体。它用不同业态拼同一件事——把履约半径压到半小时。这种打法最难防,因为它不跟你抢货架,抢的是消费者手机里那个位置。

7. 鲜风生活:首次跨省,济南连签两店

河南"豫超四小龙"之一的鲜风生活首次跨省进入山东:首店签约济南CBD绿地国金天地街区西园地下商业层,同时在济南高新区落地CCPARK济高云泉中心商场一层门店(面积近千平方米),均计划2027年1月开门纳客。这是品牌自2004年创立以来首次走出河南。

Review 区域商超跨省,第一步通常选"口味和消费习惯接近"的市场,济南和郑州的相似度确实高。但跨省真正的考验是供应链——从河南中央仓到济南的日配半径、生鲜损耗、本地采购体系,全要重建。两店同开、锚定2027年1月,说明它想一次把声量做起来;能不能站稳,看第一年的损耗率。

四、便利店:密度战开打

8. Guangdong 7-Eleven station has 2000 locations; four more will be added in the next four years.

广东7-Eleven 10月29日在深圳腾讯总部园区开出第2000家门店。品牌1992年进入广东,采取直营与加盟并行模式。DFI零售集团7-Eleven行政总裁文宇斌在开业活动上透露,广东下一步计划4年内达到3000家,即再开约1000家店,并把更多货架留给自有商品。

On the same day, WeChat Pay's Smart Business Robot made its first offline store deployment at location 2000, handling guest greetings, finding discounts, order taking, and payment guidance. According to the "2026 China Convenience Store Top 00" report, Meiyijia has 40147 stores, Lawson has 7068, 7-Eleven China has a total of 5565, and FamilyMart has 3226. Competition density in South China continues to rise.

Review 2000家放在美宜佳4万多家面前不算什么,但7-Eleven走的是"高密度+自有品牌+数字化"的路子,单店质量是它的护城河。4年1000家意味着每年250家,在广东这种铺位紧张的市场并不轻松。微信支付机器人上岗是个信号:便利店正把"人效"当成下一轮成本优化的主战场。

五、业态与供应链:往源头走

9. 七鲜小厨全球首家未来餐饮体验中心:200㎡塞进超市+餐饮+咖啡

10月28日,京东旗下七鲜小厨全球首家未来餐饮体验中心在北京长楹天街购物中心开业,这也是七鲜小厨与七鲜咖啡首个"餐+饮"综合店,门店面积超200平方米。门店通过炒菜具身智能等三大具身智能设备实现后厨烹饪无人化,出餐时间缩短到5分钟左右,走的是"人机协同"而不是简单"机器换人"的路子。七鲜透露,下一家综合店或将落地华熙LIVE,北京五棵松店也将在11月开业。

Review200 sqm, 5 min meal prep, unmanned kitchen—the core of this model is packaging high-margin F&B into low-rent supermarket spaces. The real challenge isn't the robots; it's whether an unmanned kitchen can consistently deliver quality. If it can, this model will quickly replicate in community commercial hubs across other cities, directly impacting traditional supermarket deli sections.

10. 永辉八大产区黑猪直供,黑猪直采占比达90%

Yonghui launched its 2026 National Black Pig Festival in Guangzhou on 10/29. On-site, the company signed long-term direct supply strategic cooperation agreements with core suppliers of eight regional black pig breeds: Taoyuan, Yunnan, Xiangcun, Jiaxing, Xiangcun Village, Longmin, Songliao, and Ningxiang Flower pigs. Once implemented, black pigs will be delivered directly from designated breeding bases to stores nationwide. Yonghui's pork division now sources 90% of its black pig products directly.

前端之外还有养殖端的动作:10月27日,永辉与中润长江在河南固始共同挂牌"豫南黑猪、鲜禽定向养殖基地"。黑猪主打国审品种+300天山林慢养+一猪一码全链路溯源,种猪建立DNA血统档案,商品猪经专属屠宰线后绑定唯一追溯码,消费者扫码可查从原种场到检测报告的完整链路;鲜禽则实行"全进全出"管理与四级药残闭环。定制系列黑猪与鲜禽将陆续进入全国门店及线上渠道,规划2028年豫南黑猪年出栏量达50万头。

Review 永辉这周把"品质"两个字做成了可核查的东西——产区、天数、血统档案、追溯码。生鲜竞争到最后就是这件事:谁能把非标品做成可验证的标准品。八大产区+90%直采,意味着在猪肉这个最大的生鲜品类上,它已经绕开了传统批发环节,这对经销商是个非常明确的信号。

11. 麦德龙中国30周年:2027年调改20+店、前置仓破100

On 10 26, marking 30 years since Metro China entered the country, the company unveiled its 2027 strategic plan: In 2027, it will renovate over 20 stores with a focus on upgrading fresh produce, prepared foods, and bakery sections to create a unified, standardized store model. The number of nationwide fulfillment centers is expected to exceed 100, advancing the "parent store + fulfillment center" omnichannel strategy across cities. Additionally, an automated intelligent logistics center in Taicang, Jiangsu, is scheduled to go into operation in 2028.

Review 麦德龙的老问题是"专业客户和家庭客户两套逻辑怎么并存"。这次给的答案是标准化门店模型+"母店+前置仓"——用前置仓补坪效,用标准化降复制成本。但太仓智能物流中心要2028年才投用,说明这套打法真正见效还得等两三年,中间的过渡期考验的是现金流。

六、胖东来:从样板到布道

12. Speak up three times a week: affirming human dignity, shifting location focus, and recommending seating based on consumption.

10月26日,胖东来商贸集团发布《关于"人格尊严侵权行为"公示(二)》,披露近期3起顾客侵犯员工人格尊严事件:涉事顾客存在闯岗推搡殴打员工、辱骂员工等行为,门店均已报警处理。胖东来将对涉事顾客提起民事诉讼追究侵权责任,并取消其会员资格;同时为5名受害员工发放1万至2万元不等的关爱补偿,共计7万元。

10月29日凌晨,于东来在社交平台发文明确企业行业角色,称"未来中国优秀的超市品牌不会是胖东来",而会是非常热爱、专注零售业务的企业;胖东来的重心在文化研究,现阶段只是尽力为整个零售行业打造一个可供参考的样板,分享零售发展方向与经营管理经验。

10月30日他又发文,提出培养文明美好的商业秩序和商业环境,建议制度支持消费入座、保护商家利益和消费顾客利益,并建议制度支持餐厅行业拒绝外带食物就餐。这一表态与线下实践形成呼应:上海徐汇宜家餐厅平日已开始实行消费入座,周二、周四有保安劝离占座消费者,星巴克也在相关场景试点。

Review 三件事放一起看,胖东来在做的是"把企业行为变成行业规则":对内用真金白银划出员工尊严的底线,对外主动卸掉"可复制样板"的帽子,再把话题引到消费秩序这种公共议题上。对正在学胖东来的区域商超,这是个提醒——能学的是薪酬结构和动线设计,学不来的是它已经不打算靠开店证明自己了。

Three things to remember this week

第一,止血和扩张同时发生。高鑫零售半年亏超5亿、永辉单季还在亏,另一头京东折扣、金粒门、山姆、盒马在密集开店。这不是矛盾,是分化——存量在关店,增量在抢位,中间地带没人管。

第二,竞争已经打到供应链最深处。永辉八大产区直供、90%直采、一猪一码;麦德龙用前置仓补坪效;七鲜小厨把后厨做成设备。前端拼价格,后端拼的是谁能把非标品标准化、把履约半径压短。

第三,自有品牌成了通用解。永辉自有品牌卖到40.89亿、占10.94%;7-Eleven要把更多货架留给自有商品;京东折扣上百款9.9元自有品牌。传统商超想保住毛利,绕不开这条线——但自有品牌的前提是选品和验厂真能落地,坐在办公室看PPT是看不出一斤猪肉新不新鲜的。

这也是我们每年在超采会现场最直观的感受:几千家供应商把货摆在你面前,挨个尝、挨个摸、当场比价,那种踏实感是任何报表都给不了的。2027年郑州展3月3-5日、杭州展8月18-20日,选品和验厂这件事,还是得面对面做。